Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.43) 1.12 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.9% 24.5% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.6% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaBari
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack58%25%
Defense25%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Bari
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins27%18%23%27%9%18%
Draws18%27%23%36%36%36%
Loses55%55%55%36%55%45%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLD • Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Mantova Bari
HATHAT
GF total1482211718
GF avg1.30.71.01.00.60.8
GA total221436142034
GA avg2.01.31.61.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%64%82%
1.527%36%18%41%
2.55%27%0%23%
3.55%9%0%5%
4.50%9%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score268268

Penalties

MetricMantovaBari
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMantovaBari
Wins32
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-35-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against5335

Model comparison

MetricMantovaBari
Form60%40%
Att70%30%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mantova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.64 (league 1.43), Bari = 1.12 (league 1.08)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 6.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.6% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 25.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1