Serie B — Italy
Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 18:00 • Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 28.9% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 13.2% 17.1% 11.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.5% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSampdoriaPalermo
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack38%62%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sampdoria Palermo
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%8%26%67%36%52%
Draws27%33%30%25%45%35%
Loses27%58%43%8%18%13%

Form: Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWLDWLDDWW • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Sampdoria Palermo
HATHAT
GF total14923211536
GF avg1.30.81.01.81.41.6
GA total1118297916
GA avg1.01.51.30.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSampdoriaPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%83%74%52%
1.517%30%43%13%
2.59%13%22%4%
3.54%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSampdoriaPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets3148311
Failed to score347336

Penalties

MetricSampdoriaPalermo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSampdoriaPalermo
Wins13
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-31-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricSampdoriaPalermo
Form42%58%
Att38%62%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 10Bet
Away2.40 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sampdoria = 0.73 (league 1.43), Palermo = 1.30 (league 1.08)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sampdoria 0 13.2% 17.1% 11.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.5% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 50.0%

vtt 13 , vtd1