Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadio San Nicola
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.45)
1.07 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.9% | 30.5% | 37.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Spezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bari | 0 | 13.0% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 20% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bari | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 36% | 58% | 48% | 42% | 64% | 52% |
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SpeziaLDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Bari | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 22 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bari | Spezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 83% | 70% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 43% | 9% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 22% | 4% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bari | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.68 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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