Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 18:00 •
Stadio Marco Druso
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.45)
1.28 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 28.4% | 43.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Monza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sudtirol | 0 | 10.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 80% | 90% |
| Defense | 80% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 8% | 26% | 75% | 45% | 61% |
| Draws | 18% | 75% | 48% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 36% | 17% | 26% | 8% | 27% | 17% |
SudtirolDWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWD
MonzaWDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sudtirol | Monza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 78% | 87% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 17% | 48% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sudtirol | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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