Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:15 • Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.44) 0.57 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.6% 28.3% 15.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 14.6% 8.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCatanzaroMantova
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack75%100%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catanzaro Mantova
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%33%42%33%17%25%
Draws42%25%33%17%25%21%
Loses8%42%25%50%58%54%

Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWW • Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Catanzaro Mantova
HATHAT
GF total18143216824
GF avg1.51.21.31.30.71.0
GA total111526231538
GA avg0.91.31.11.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCatanzaroMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%63%83%
1.546%33%29%33%
2.513%8%4%25%
3.50%0%4%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCatanzaroMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets538134
Failed to score246279

Penalties

MetricCatanzaroMantova
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCatanzaroMantova
Wins53
Draws62
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-11-53-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricCatanzaroMantova
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total60.7%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 1.35 (league 1.44), Mantova = 0.57 (league 1.10)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 14.6% 8.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 15.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1