Serie B — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
0 - 4
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43) 1.67 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 24.1% 46.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 5.4% 8.9% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaVenezia
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack88%100%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Venezia
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins45%46%46%83%42%63%
Draws27%8%17%0%42%21%
Loses27%46%38%17%17%17%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWL • Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLWWWDWWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Cesena Venezia
HATHAT
GF total161632252146
GF avg1.51.21.32.11.81.9
GA total11193081422
GA avg1.01.51.30.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaVenezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%88%63%
1.538%29%67%25%
2.513%13%29%4%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaVenezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets314639
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricCesenaVenezia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricCesenaVenezia
Wins38
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-5
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-2
Goals For3335
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCesenaVenezia
Form33%67%
Att37%63%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 1.26 (league 1.43), Venezia = 1.67 (league 1.08)

Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 5.4% 8.9% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.2% 7.1% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 46.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1