Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:15 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.44) 1.97 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 21.0% 38.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.9% 7.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaCarrarese
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack60%10%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Carrarese
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%15%27%38%15%27%
Draws15%23%19%38%31%35%
Loses46%62%54%23%54%38%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWLLW • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLL

League goals

Metric Mantova Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total18826161531
GF avg1.40.61.01.21.21.2
GA total241741102636
GA avg1.81.31.60.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%62%65%
1.531%35%38%42%
2.54%23%19%15%
3.54%8%0%12%
4.50%8%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets134819
Failed to score28107310

Penalties

MetricMantovaCarrarese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricMantovaCarrarese
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-25-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against5345

Model comparison

MetricMantovaCarrarese
Form88%13%
Att86%14%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total66.8%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mantova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.94 (league 1.44), Carrarese = 1.97 (league 1.10)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.9% 7.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 6 , vtd1