Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.49) 0.27 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 21.8% 5.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 14.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoMantova
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack68%26%
Defense63%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Mantova
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins71%31%52%36%15%26%
Draws21%46%33%21%23%22%
Loses7%23%15%43%62%52%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDWWDWWL • Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Palermo Mantova
HATHAT
GF total27194619827
GF avg1.91.51.71.40.61.0
GA total71421251742
GA avg0.51.10.81.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%52%63%85%
1.548%19%30%33%
2.530%7%4%22%
3.57%0%4%7%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets10313134
Failed to score3362810

Penalties

MetricPalermoMantova
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricPalermoMantova
Wins33
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-11-2
Biggest losses0-32-11-53-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricPalermoMantova
Form59%41%
Att72%28%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Winner : Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 188Bet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away7.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.66 (league 1.49), Mantova = 0.27 (league 1.09)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 14.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 5.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1