Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Enrico Sannazzari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.50) 1.11 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 32.3% 47.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Entella 0 18.0% 19.9% 11.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus EntellaModena
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack50%80%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Entella Modena
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%0%19%43%46%44%
Draws46%29%37%21%31%26%
Loses15%71%44%36%23%30%

Form: Virtus Entella: DDWLLDLWDLWDDLLLDLWDLDDWLLL • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWL

League goals

Metric Virtus Entella Modena
HATHAT
GF total17724201636
GF avg1.30.50.91.41.21.3
GA total13263913922
GA avg1.01.91.40.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus EntellaModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%74%56%
1.515%37%48%26%
2.57%19%11%0%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus EntellaModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146612
Failed to score189257

Penalties

MetricVirtus EntellaModena
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricVirtus EntellaModena
Wins13
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-22-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricVirtus EntellaModena
Form31%69%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h33%67%
Goals29%71%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.33 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Entella = 0.61 (league 1.50), Modena = 1.11 (league 1.09)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Entella 0 18.0% 19.9% 11.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 47.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1