Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 18:00 • Stadio dei Marmi
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.44) 0.95 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 31.3% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseCatanzaro
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack10%100%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%14%26%50%38%44%
Draws38%36%37%43%23%33%
Loses23%50%37%7%38%22%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLD • Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Carrarese Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total161632221739
GF avg1.21.11.21.61.31.4
GA total102737131629
GA avg0.81.91.40.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%78%67%
1.537%41%52%33%
2.519%15%15%7%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets819639
Failed to score7310246

Penalties

MetricCarrareseCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricCarrareseCatanzaro
Wins35
Draws26
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-13-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseCatanzaro
Form13%87%
Att8%92%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total30.3%69.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Catanzaro

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.00 (league 1.44), Catanzaro = 0.95 (league 1.09)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1