Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.49) 0.88 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 33.2% 33.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 0
15.1%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 17.1% 15.1% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaSudtirol
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack40%30%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins31%21%26%38%14%26%
Draws38%21%30%31%64%48%
Loses31%57%44%31%21%26%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDLDWWLWLDDLWLLLLLLDLWDDW • Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWDDWLD

League goals

Metric Reggiana Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total161329161127
GF avg1.20.91.11.20.81.0
GA total152136121628
GA avg1.21.51.30.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%63%78%
1.519%41%26%19%
2.511%15%11%7%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score2465510

Penalties

MetricReggianaSudtirol
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricReggianaSudtirol
Wins24
Draws23
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricReggianaSudtirol
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sudtirol and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ 10Bet
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.79 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 0.89 (league 1.49), Sudtirol = 0.88 (league 1.09)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 17.1% 15.1% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1