Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 18:00 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.49) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 29.6% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 11.7% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaSpezia
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack70%40%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Spezia
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%36%30%21%23%22%
Draws46%21%33%29%23%26%
Loses31%43%37%50%54%52%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLLLDWLDW • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWL

League goals

Metric Padova Spezia
HATHAT
GF total151328101323
GF avg1.20.91.00.71.00.9
GA total161733181735
GA avg1.21.21.21.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%78%63%78%
1.526%33%11%41%
2.54%11%7%7%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score2575510

Penalties

MetricPadovaSpezia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricPadovaSpezia
Wins22
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-10-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-34-1
Goals For2324
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricPadovaSpezia
Form62%38%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Padova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.98 @ 10Bet
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 1.05 (league 1.49), Spezia = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 11.7% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 36.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1