Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.50) 1.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 25.6% 55.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 10.1% 15.6% 12.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.7% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaMonza
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack60%70%
Defense0%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Monza
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%43%41%79%46%63%
Draws23%14%19%14%31%22%
Loses38%43%41%7%23%15%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLD • Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Cesena Monza
HATHAT
GF total181735251641
GF avg1.41.21.31.81.21.5
GA total18203891120
GA avg1.41.41.40.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%85%59%
1.537%33%48%15%
2.511%19%15%0%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146511
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricCesenaMonza
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCesenaMonza
Wins37
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-12-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricCesenaMonza
Form24%76%
Att46%54%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.75 (league 1.50), Monza = 1.55 (league 1.09)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 10.1% 15.6% 12.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.7% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 55.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1