Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.46) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 19.6% 12.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 6.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneSampdoria
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%60%
Defense30%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins54%53%54%43%7%25%
Draws31%40%36%29%36%32%
Loses15%7%11%29%57%43%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWWWDWDWDLWWDDD • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWLDWLDDWWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Frosinone Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total262652181129
GF avg2.01.71.91.30.81.0
GA total131528162137
GA avg1.01.01.01.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%64%71%82%
1.564%32%18%36%
2.521%4%11%14%
3.57%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510415
Failed to score123448

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneSampdoria
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneSampdoria
Wins52
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-1
Goals For4542
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneSampdoria
Form64%36%
Att65%35%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Winner : Frosinone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Superbet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 2.05 (league 1.46), Sampdoria = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 6.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 12.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1