Serie B — Italy
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.44) 0.98 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 27.5% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 9.6% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaCesena
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack44%28%
Defense72%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Cesena
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%43%43%36%43%39%
Draws21%29%25%21%14%18%
Loses36%29%32%43%43%43%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLL • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLDL

League goals

Metric Modena Cesena
HATHAT
GF total201737191736
GF avg1.41.21.31.41.21.3
GA total131124212041
GA avg0.90.80.91.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%57%82%86%
1.546%29%36%36%
2.511%0%11%21%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612314
Failed to score257235

Penalties

MetricModenaCesena
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricModenaCesena
Wins33
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-43-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricModenaCesena
Form90%10%
Att62%38%
Def74%26%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Modena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away5.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.36 (league 1.44), Cesena = 0.98 (league 1.10)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 9.6% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 27.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1