Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Alberto Picco
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.45)
1.67 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 22.8% | 67.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Monza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spezia | 0 | 12.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spezia | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 28% | 44% |
| Defense | 61% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spezia | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 21% | 21% | 79% | 50% | 64% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
SpeziaLDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLD
MonzaWDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDWWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Spezia | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spezia | Monza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 86% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 43% | 50% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spezia | Monza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spezia | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spezia | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spezia | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.08 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.19 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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