Serie B — Italy
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.48) 1.00 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 30.8% 34.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 13.4% 13.3% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariReggiana
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack40%20%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Reggiana
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins29%13%21%29%20%24%
Draws36%33%34%36%20%28%
Loses36%53%45%36%60%48%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWL • Reggiana: LWDDLDWWLWLDDLWLLLLLLDLWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Bari Reggiana
HATHAT
GF total141125161329
GF avg1.00.70.91.10.91.0
GA total172744192342
GA avg1.21.81.51.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariReggiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%79%72%76%
1.521%41%17%45%
2.50%21%10%17%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariReggiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score3710358

Penalties

MetricBariReggiana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBariReggiana
Wins22
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-35-00-43-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricBariReggiana
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Reggiana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 1.01 (league 1.48), Reggiana = 1.00 (league 1.08)

Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 13.4% 13.3% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 34.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1