Serie B — Italy
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.46) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 28.9% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 11.6% 10.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaSpezia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%60%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Spezia
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins40%43%41%27%21%24%
Draws27%29%28%27%29%28%
Loses33%29%31%47%50%48%

Form: Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLLD • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Modena Spezia
HATHAT
GF total201737141529
GF avg1.31.21.30.91.11.0
GA total131124201939
GA avg0.90.80.81.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%55%66%79%
1.545%28%17%45%
2.510%0%10%7%
3.50%0%7%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613336
Failed to score3585510

Penalties

MetricModenaSpezia
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricModenaSpezia
Wins32
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-20-4
Biggest losses1-22-01-34-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricModenaSpezia
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Modena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Unibet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Modena = 1.25 (league 1.46), Spezia = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 11.6% 10.5% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1