Serie B — Italy
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:15 • Brianteo
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.50) 0.77 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 30.1% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 13.8% 10.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaPalermo
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack67%67%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Palermo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins79%47%62%73%36%55%
Draws14%27%21%20%43%31%
Loses7%27%17%7%21%14%

Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDLWWLDWWWDWWWWL • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDWWDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Monza Palermo
HATHAT
GF total252146292049
GF avg1.81.41.61.91.41.7
GA total9162581422
GA avg0.61.10.90.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%62%79%52%
1.552%17%48%17%
2.517%3%28%7%
3.53%3%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets651110414
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricMonzaPalermo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricMonzaPalermo
Wins73
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-20-32-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMonzaPalermo
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals75%25%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.34 @ 1xBet
Away3.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 1.20 (league 1.50), Palermo = 0.77 (league 1.09)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 13.8% 10.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 23.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1