Serie B — Italy
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.48) 2.35 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 17.8% 65.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 3.7% 8.7% 10.2% 8.0% 4.7% 2.2%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.6% 3.9% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaFrosinone
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack27%73%
Defense27%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Frosinone
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins36%40%38%57%53%55%
Draws21%20%21%29%40%34%
Loses43%40%41%14%7%10%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLDLD • Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWWWDWDWDLWWDDDW

League goals

Metric Cesena Frosinone
HATHAT
GF total191736292655
GF avg1.41.11.22.11.71.9
GA total212041131528
GA avg1.51.31.40.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaFrosinone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%83%90%62%
1.534%34%66%31%
2.510%21%24%3%
3.50%3%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaFrosinone
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256511
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricCesenaFrosinone
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCesenaFrosinone
Wins35
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-01-5
Biggest losses0-43-11-23-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricCesenaFrosinone
Form18%82%
Att27%73%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Winner : Frosinone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.94 (league 1.48), Frosinone = 2.35 (league 1.08)

Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 3.7% 8.7% 10.2% 8.0% 4.7% 2.2%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.6% 3.9% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 65.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1