Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.49) 0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 27.6% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 13.9% 8.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseSampdoria
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack38%15%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%13%23%40%7%23%
Draws40%40%40%33%33%33%
Loses27%47%37%27%60%43%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLD • Sampdoria: LLLLDDWLDDLLWLWLDWLDDWWDWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Carrarese Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total191736181129
GF avg1.31.11.21.20.71.0
GA total142842162440
GA avg0.91.91.41.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%70%67%80%
1.537%40%17%37%
2.520%17%10%17%
3.50%10%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets819516
Failed to score83115510

Penalties

MetricCarrareseSampdoria
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricCarrareseSampdoria
Wins32
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-23-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseSampdoria
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Carrarese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.91 @ Pinnacle
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.40 (league 1.49), Sampdoria = 0.58 (league 1.09)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 13.9% 8.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1