Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.50) 1.72 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 23.7% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 5.3% 9.1% 7.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaCesena
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack80%60%
Defense40%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Cesena
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%13%27%33%40%37%
Draws20%27%23%27%20%23%
Loses40%60%50%40%40%40%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWLLWDLWD • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLDLDD

League goals

Metric Mantova Cesena
HATHAT
GF total211132211738
GF avg1.40.71.11.41.11.3
GA total252146232043
GA avg1.71.41.51.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%80%83%
1.533%37%37%37%
2.53%20%10%20%
3.53%7%0%3%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score2810246

Penalties

MetricMantovaCesena
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricMantovaCesena
Wins33
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-53-00-43-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against5343

Model comparison

MetricMantovaCesena
Form73%27%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h20%80%
Goals45%55%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Mantova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.22 (league 1.50), Cesena = 1.72 (league 1.09)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 5.3% 9.1% 7.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 48.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1