Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadio Alberto Picco
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.45)
1.30 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.3% | 27.1% | 39.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Empoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spezia | 0 | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 29% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 63% | 7% | 37% |
| Loses | 47% | 53% | 50% | 19% | 64% | 40% |
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EmpoliWLDLDDWDLDLWWWLLWDWLLDLLDDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 20 | 22 | 42 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spezia | Empoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 47% | 30% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spezia | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Betano
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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