Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.50) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 27.1% 40.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 8.5% 11.3% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaEmpoli
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack90%80%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Empoli
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins27%20%23%19%29%23%
Draws27%27%27%63%7%37%
Loses47%53%50%19%64%40%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDWL • Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWWLLWDWLLDLLDDDLLD

League goals

Metric Spezia Empoli
HATHAT
GF total141529221638
GF avg0.91.01.01.41.11.3
GA total202242182644
GA avg1.31.51.41.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%80%80%80%
1.517%47%30%43%
2.510%10%10%20%
3.57%3%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score5611246

Penalties

MetricSpeziaEmpoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSpeziaEmpoli
Wins23
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-45-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-34-0
Goals For4453
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaEmpoli
Form70%30%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Spezia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betano
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 1.14 (league 1.50), Empoli = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 8.5% 11.3% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 40.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1