Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 18:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.49) 0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.4% 13.8% 6.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneBari
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack85%69%
Defense38%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Bari
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins57%50%53%33%13%23%
Draws29%44%37%33%33%33%
Loses14%6%10%33%53%43%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWWWDWDWDLWWDDDWD • Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Frosinone Bari
HATHAT
GF total292857181129
GF avg2.11.81.91.20.71.0
GA total131730182745
GA avg0.91.11.01.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%63%67%80%
1.567%33%23%40%
2.523%3%3%20%
3.57%0%3%7%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511336
Failed to score1233710

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneBari
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneBari
Wins52
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-35-0
Goals For4542
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneBari
Form41%59%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h29%71%
Goals39%61%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bari

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Unibet
Draw4.75 @ Marathonbet
Away7.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 2.54 (league 1.49), Bari = 0.58 (league 1.09)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.1% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1