Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.46)
1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.4% | 30.4% | 39.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catanzaro | 0 | 13.1% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 47% |
| Attack | 87% | 40% |
| Defense | 47% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 53% | 36% | 45% | 40% | 43% | 41% |
| Draws | 40% | 29% | 34% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Loses | 7% | 36% | 21% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWWWWDDW • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 20 | 45 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Catanzaro | Modena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 69% | 72% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 38% | 45% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Catanzaro | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.32 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 0.93 (league 1.46), Modena = 1.10 (league 1.09)
| Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Catanzaro | 0 | 13.1% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 39.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
