Serie B — Italy
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Match Postponed
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Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.49) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 30.6% 39.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 13.4% 14.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCatanzaroModena
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack100%70%
Defense10%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catanzaro Modena
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins53%40%47%44%43%43%
Draws40%27%33%25%29%27%
Loses7%33%20%31%29%30%

Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWWWWDDWW • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Catanzaro Modena
HATHAT
GF total252348231740
GF avg1.71.51.61.41.21.3
GA total152035131124
GA avg1.01.31.20.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCatanzaroModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%73%53%
1.557%37%47%27%
2.523%10%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCatanzaroModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398614
Failed to score246358

Penalties

MetricCatanzaroModena
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricCatanzaroModena
Wins53
Draws62
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-22-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricCatanzaroModena
Form61%39%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 0.91 (league 1.49), Modena = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 13.4% 14.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1