Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 1.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 27.3% 45.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 9.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack33%58%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played151530141529
Wins40%20%30%36%20%28%
Draws27%33%30%29%60%45%
Loses33%47%40%36%20%28%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLLWDLDDWLLWLLLDDLWW • Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWDDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Avellino Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total191433161531
GF avg1.30.91.11.11.01.1
GA total222547131629
GA avg1.51.71.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%83%62%76%
1.530%43%28%17%
2.510%23%14%7%
3.57%7%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets415347
Failed to score56116511

Penalties

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Wins34
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-23-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Form53%47%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Avellino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.64 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 10Bet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 0.98 (league 1.46), Sudtirol = 1.37 (league 1.09)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 9.5% 13.1% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 45.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1