Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.50) 1.22 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 25.3% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariCarrarese
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack64%50%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Carrarese
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%13%23%38%13%26%
Draws33%31%32%38%40%39%
Loses33%56%45%25%47%35%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWLWL • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDW

League goals

Metric Bari Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total181230211738
GF avg1.20.81.01.31.11.2
GA total182947142842
GA avg1.21.81.50.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%81%65%68%
1.523%42%39%39%
2.53%19%19%16%
3.53%6%0%10%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets3369110
Failed to score37108311

Penalties

MetricBariCarrarese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricBariCarrarese
Wins23
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-00-25-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3545

Model comparison

MetricBariCarrarese
Form60%40%
Att56%44%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h36%64%
Goals43%57%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 1.52 (league 1.50), Carrarese = 1.22 (league 1.09)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 30.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1