Serie B — Italy
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 10:30 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.49) 1.51 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 25.4% 43.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 6.6% 10.0% 7.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.0% 12.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaSudtirol
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack32%37%
Defense53%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%38%38%31%19%25%
Draws25%19%22%31%56%44%
Loses38%44%41%38%25%31%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLDLDDLW • Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWDDWLDWLDLL

League goals

Metric Cesena Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total241741171734
GF avg1.51.11.31.11.11.1
GA total242347161935
GA avg1.51.41.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%84%63%75%
1.538%38%28%22%
2.513%22%13%13%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets325448
Failed to score2577512

Penalties

MetricCesenaSudtirol
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricCesenaSudtirol
Wins34
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-01-33-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricCesenaSudtirol
Form56%44%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 1.21 (league 1.49), Sudtirol = 1.51 (league 1.09)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 6.6% 10.0% 7.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.0% 12.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 43.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1