Serie B — Italy
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 17:30 • Stadio dei Marmi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.49) 0.82 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 27.4% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseSpezia
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack47%42%
Defense74%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Spezia
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%19%28%25%19%22%
Draws38%38%38%31%25%28%
Loses25%44%34%44%56%50%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDWW • Spezia: LDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Carrarese Spezia
HATHAT
GF total212041151631
GF avg1.31.31.30.91.01.0
GA total142842212546
GA avg0.91.81.31.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%66%66%81%
1.541%38%16%47%
2.522%16%9%13%
3.50%9%6%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets9211336
Failed to score83115611

Penalties

MetricCarrareseSpezia
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricCarrareseSpezia
Wins32
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-20-4
Biggest losses0-25-01-34-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseSpezia
Form62%38%
Att53%47%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Carrarese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ BetVictor
Away4.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.40 (league 1.49), Spezia = 0.82 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 10.8% 8.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1