Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 17:30 •
Stadio dei Marmi
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.45)
0.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 27.0% | 21.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Spezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carrarese | 0 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 75% | 67% |
| Defense | 58% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 38% | 19% | 28% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| Draws | 38% | 38% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 25% | 44% | 34% | 44% | 56% | 50% |
CarrareseWDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDWW
SpeziaLDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 25 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carrarese | Spezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 66% | 66% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 38% | 16% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 16% | 9% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carrarese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away4.40 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.98 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…