Serie B — Italy
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.49) 1.45 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 26.8% 57.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 13.0% 18.9% 13.6% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariModena
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack58%58%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Modena
HATHAT
Played161632171431
Wins31%13%22%47%43%45%
Draws31%31%31%24%29%26%
Loses38%56%47%29%29%29%

Form: Bari: LDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWLWLL • Modena: WDWWWDWDWLWDDLLWLLLWDDLWWWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Bari Modena
HATHAT
GF total181230251742
GF avg1.10.80.91.51.21.4
GA total212950141125
GA avg1.31.81.60.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%81%74%55%
1.522%44%48%26%
2.53%22%13%0%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368614
Failed to score4711358

Penalties

MetricBariModena
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricBariModena
Wins23
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-22-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricBariModena
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 0.59 (league 1.49), Modena = 1.45 (league 1.08)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 13.0% 18.9% 13.6% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 57.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1