Serie B — Italy
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.50) 1.68 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 23.9% 45.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 5.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.0% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaCarrarese
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack17%75%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Carrarese
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins25%18%21%41%19%30%
Draws38%18%27%35%38%36%
Loses38%65%52%24%44%33%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDLDWWLWLDDLWLLLLLLDLWDDWLLLDLL • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Reggiana Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total171431242044
GF avg1.10.80.91.41.31.3
GA total223052152843
GA avg1.41.81.60.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%76%67%67%
1.515%48%42%36%
2.59%24%24%15%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets4489211
Failed to score46108311

Penalties

MetricReggianaCarrarese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricReggianaCarrarese
Wins23
Draws22
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-44-10-25-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricReggianaCarrarese
Form9%91%
Att18%82%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrarese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betano
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 1.32 (league 1.50), Carrarese = 1.68 (league 1.09)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 5.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.0% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 45.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1