Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Alberto Picco
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.45)
1.41 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 27.4% | 52.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sudtirol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spezia | 0 | 11.6% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 42% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 24% | 18% | 21% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 24% | 26% | 35% | 59% | 47% |
| Loses | 47% | 59% | 53% | 35% | 24% | 29% |
SpeziaLDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDWLDLLL
SudtirolDWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWDDWLDWLDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 23 | 28 | 51 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spezia | Sudtirol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 82% | 65% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 50% | 26% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 15% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spezia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 43.2% | 57.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 10Bet
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…