Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45)
1.28 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 24.2% | 29.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Juve Stabia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pescara | 0 | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Pescara +0.9, Juve Stabia +14.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Pescara
vs
Juve Stabia
Elo gapJuve Stabia +5
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3001.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3001.2
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1480.4 | 1520.8 |
| Form Elo | 1491.6 | 1516.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.6 | 1466.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1581 | 1483.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1429.6 | 1537.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.9 | +14.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Pescara last-5 Elo change: +0.9; Juve Stabia last-5 Elo change: +14.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 82% |
| Defense | 18% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 29% | 11% | 20% | 44% | 18% | 31% |
| Draws | 29% | 39% | 34% | 50% | 41% | 46% |
| Loses | 41% | 50% | 46% | 6% | 41% | 23% |
PescaraLLDWLDLDDDLLDLDLWLDLLDLLWLWDWDWLWLD
Juve StabiaDDDWDWLWDLWLDDLWDWDWWDDWLLDDLDDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 23 | 49 | 25 | 17 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 24 | 39 | 63 | 14 | 28 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pescara | Juve Stabia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 86% | 74% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 63% | 37% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 20% | 9% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pescara | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…
