Serie B — Italy
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45) 1.28 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 24.2% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Juve Stabia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pescara 0 5.3% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.3% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Pescara +0.9, Juve Stabia +14.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Pescara Elo 1480.4 · +0.9
vs
Juve Stabia Elo 1520.8 · +14.7
Elo gapJuve Stabia +5
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo3001.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3001.2
Elo home share 49%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Pescara Juve Stabia
Overall Elo1480.41520.8
Form Elo1491.61516.4
Home / Away Elo1489.61466.7
Attack Elo15811483.7
Defense Elo1429.61537.1
Last 5 Elo change+0.9+14.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Pescara last-5 Elo change: +0.9; Juve Stabia last-5 Elo change: +14.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPescaraJuve Stabia
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack100%82%
Defense18%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pescara Juve Stabia
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins29%11%20%44%18%31%
Draws29%39%34%50%41%46%
Loses41%50%46%6%41%23%
PescaraLLDWLDLDDDLLDLDLWLDLLDLLWLWDWDWLWLD
Juve StabiaDDDWDWLWDLWLDDLWDWDWWDDWLLDDLDDWLWD

League goals

Metric Pescara Juve Stabia
HATHAT
GF total262349251742
GF avg1.51.31.41.41.01.2
GA total243963142842
GA avg1.42.21.80.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePescaraJuve Stabia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%86%74%69%
1.543%63%37%37%
2.514%20%9%14%
3.56%9%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPescaraJuve Stabia
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259211
Failed to score448369

Penalties

MetricPescaraJuve Stabia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricPescaraJuve Stabia
Wins12
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-35-01-23-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricPescaraJuve Stabia
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total53.5%46.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings

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