Fri, May 1 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Alberto Picco
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.45)
2.02 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 19.9% | 65.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Venezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spezia | 0 | 6.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 90% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| Wins | 28% | 18% | 23% | 88% | 39% | 63% |
| Draws | 28% | 24% | 26% | 0% | 50% | 26% |
| Loses | 44% | 59% | 51% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
SpeziaLDDLLDLLWDLDLWWLLWLLWLDDLWLDWLDLLLW
VeneziaWDDLWDWDLWLWWWDWWWWWWWWLWWDWWDWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 40 | 31 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 24 | 28 | 52 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spezia | Venezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 83% | 89% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 49% | 66% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 14% | 37% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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