Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:00 •
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.60)
0.47 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.1% | 27.2% | 12.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Zürich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Basel W | 0 | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 33% |
| Attack | 27% | 20% |
| Defense | 87% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Basel W: WLWW • Zürich W: WLDL
League goals
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Basel W | Zürich W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Basel W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 47.6% | 52.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Basel W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Basel W = 1.41 (league 1.60), Zürich W = 0.47 (league 1.59)
| Zürich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Basel W | 0 | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.1% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 12.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1