Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Sportanlage Heerenschürli
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.60)
0.09 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 32.0% | 3.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
33.1%
0 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zürich W | 0 | 28.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 7% |
| Attack | 15% | 8% |
| Defense | 77% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
Form: Zürich W: WLDLL • Aarau: LDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zürich W | Aarau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 80% | 40% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zürich W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Zürich W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zürich W = 1.15 (league 1.60), Aarau = 0.09 (league 1.59)
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zürich W | 0 | 28.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 3.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1