Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
Espenmoos
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.60)
0.31 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.6% | 34.4% | 10.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.8%
0 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Basel W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St. Gallen W | 0 | 25.2% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 71% | 43% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
Form: St. Gallen W: DLWWWD • Basel W: WLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | St. Gallen W | Basel W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | St. Gallen W | Basel W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Basel W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): St. Gallen W = 1.06 (league 1.60), Basel W = 0.31 (league 1.59)
| Basel W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St. Gallen W | 0 | 25.2% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 10.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1