Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 •
Stadion Allmend
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.56)
3.15 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 14.2% | 61.8% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 4
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Zürich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 69% | 31% |
| Defense | 8% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Luzern W: LDWWLD • Zürich W: WLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luzern W | Zürich W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-8 | — | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luzern W | Zürich W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 46.4% | 53.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zürich W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luzern W = 1.41 (league 1.56), Zürich W = 3.15 (league 1.65)
| Zürich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 61.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1