Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Allmend
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.56)
4.85 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 8.3% | 47.4% |
best score tips
1 - 4
5.1%
1 - 5
4.9%
2 - 4
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| St. Gallen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 56% | 69% |
| Defense | 6% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 75% | 0% | 43% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Luzern W: LDWWLDL • St. Gallen W: DLWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luzern W | St. Gallen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 43% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-8 | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luzern W | St. Gallen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : St. Gallen W and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luzern W = 1.91 (league 1.56), St. Gallen W = 4.85 (league 1.65)
| St. Gallen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 47.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1