Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 •
Stade Municipal
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.56)
1.45 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 24.0% | 34.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thun | 0 | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Thun | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 7% |
| Attack | 22% | 22% |
| Defense | 22% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Thun | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 100% | 71% |
Form: Thun: LLLLLLL • Aarau: LDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Thun | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Thun | Aarau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 100% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 57% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Thun | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Thun | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Thun | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Thun | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 40.4% | 59.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aarau
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Thun = 1.60 (league 1.56), Aarau = 1.45 (league 1.65)
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Thun | 0 | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 34.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1