Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 •
Stadion Allmend
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.57)
1.92 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8% | 22.2% | 48.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 13% |
| Attack | 22% | 22% |
| Defense | 22% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 80% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
Form: Luzern W: LDWWLDLLLL • Aarau: LDLLLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 19 | 9 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luzern W | Aarau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 70% | 10% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-8 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aarau
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luzern W = 1.40 (league 1.57), Aarau = 1.92 (league 1.59)
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 48.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1