Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 19:15 •
Stadion Allmend
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.49)
1.83 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 21.6% | 37.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Aarau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern W | 0 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 0% |
| Attack | 55% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 17% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 43% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 83% | 43% | 62% | 71% | 83% | 77% |
Luzern WLDWWLDLLLLLLD
AarauLDLLLLDDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 3.8 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luzern W | Aarau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 92% | 38% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 77% | 8% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 54% | 0% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-8 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luzern W | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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