Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 19:15 • Stadion Allmend
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.57) 2.10 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 17.5% 72.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 3
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Basel W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luzern W 0 7.4% 15.6% 16.4% 11.5% 6.0% 2.5%
1 3.7% 7.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

đź”®

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuzern WBasel W
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack54%38%
Defense0%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luzern W Basel W
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%14%14%43%43%43%
Draws0%43%21%29%43%36%
Loses86%43%64%29%14%21%

Form: Luzern W: LDWWLDLLLLLLDL • Basel W: WLWWWDDLDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Luzern W Basel W
HATHAT
GF total99188614
GF avg1.31.31.31.10.91.0
GA total2615418412
GA avg3.72.12.91.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuzern WBasel W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%93%64%50%
1.550%79%29%29%
2.50%57%7%7%
3.50%36%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuzern WBasel W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101347
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricLuzern WBasel W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLuzern WBasel W
Wins23
Draws12
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-84-10-32-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against8432

Model comparison

MetricLuzern WBasel W
Form11%89%
Att58%42%
Def16%84%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total21.3%78.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Basel W

đź’¸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luzern W = 0.50 (league 1.57), Basel W = 2.10 (league 1.58)

Basel W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luzern W 0 7.4% 15.6% 16.4% 11.5% 6.0% 2.5%
1 3.7% 7.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 72.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1