Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 18:00 •
Sportanlage Heerenschürli
Expected Goals
3.68 (league 1.54)
0.85 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Luzern W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zürich W | 0 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 57% | 50% | 53% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 43% | 20% |
| Loses | 14% | 50% | 33% | 88% | 43% | 67% |
Form: Zürich W: WLDLLWWWWWLWLDW • Luzern W: LDWWLDLLLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zürich W | Luzern W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 40% | 47% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 7% | 0% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 2-8 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zürich W | Luzern W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 72% | 28% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Zürich W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zürich W = 3.68 (league 1.54), Luzern W = 0.85 (league 1.53)
| Luzern W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zürich W | 0 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 4.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1