Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Espenmoos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.56) 1.48 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 22.8% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Luzern W
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Gallen W 0 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 10.0% 7.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. Gallen WLuzern W
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack83%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Gallen W Luzern W
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins43%38%40%13%13%13%
Draws29%25%27%0%50%25%
Loses29%38%33%88%38%63%

Form: St. Gallen W: DLWWWDDWLLLWWDL • Luzern W: LDWWLDLLLLLLDLLD

League goals

Metric St. Gallen W Luzern W
HATHAT
GF total101121101020
GF avg1.41.41.41.31.31.3
GA total121325281644
GA avg1.71.61.73.52.02.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. Gallen WLuzern W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%81%94%
1.527%47%44%75%
2.520%33%0%50%
3.57%7%0%31%
4.57%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. Gallen WLuzern W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricSt. Gallen WLuzern W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSt. Gallen WLuzern W
Wins32
Draws21
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-43-02-84-1
Goals For3522
Goals Against4384

Model comparison

MetricSt. Gallen WLuzern W
Form78%22%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals68%32%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : St. Gallen W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): St. Gallen W = 1.80 (league 1.56), Luzern W = 1.48 (league 1.50)

Luzern W
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Gallen W 0 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 10.0% 7.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1