Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Sportcomplex Zwartberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.06 (league 1.59) 2.07 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.7% 13.3% 84.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
25.5%
0 - 1
24.6%
0 - 3
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liege W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk W 0 11.9% 24.6% 25.5% 17.7% 9.2% 3.8%
1 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenk WStandard Liege W
Played33
Form11%56%
Attack5%18%
Defense59%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

37%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk W Standard Liege W
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%50%100%67%
Loses100%50%67%0%0%0%

Form: Genk W: DLL • Standard Liege W: DWD

League goals

Metric Genk W Standard Liege W
HATHAT
GF total011404
GF avg0.00.50.32.00.01.3
GA total279101
GA avg2.03.53.00.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenk WStandard Liege W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%33%33%
1.50%67%33%0%
2.50%33%33%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenk WStandard Liege W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricGenk WStandard Liege W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGenk WStandard Liege W
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1
Biggest losses0-26-0
Goals For0140
Goals Against2610

Model comparison

MetricGenk WStandard Liege W
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total18.6%81.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Standard Liege W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ William Hill
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk W = 0.06 (league 1.59), Standard Liege W = 2.07 (league 1.25)

Standard Liege W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk W 0 11.9% 24.6% 25.5% 17.7% 9.2% 3.8%
1 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 84.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1