Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • Sportcomplex Zwartberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.56) 4.03 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 3.5% 73.7%
best score tips
0 - 4
14.3%
0 - 3
14.2%
0 - 5
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
OH Leuven W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk W 0 1.3% 5.2% 10.5% 14.2% 14.3% 11.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenk WOH Leuven W
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack50%100%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk W OH Leuven W
HATHAT
Played347336
Wins33%0%14%67%100%83%
Draws0%75%43%33%0%17%
Loses67%25%43%0%0%0%

Form: Genk W: DLLWLDD • OH Leuven W: DWWWWW

League goals

Metric Genk W OH Leuven W
HATHAT
GF total2465914
GF avg0.71.00.91.73.02.3
GA total51015325
GA avg1.72.52.11.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenk WOH Leuven W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%100%83%
1.529%57%67%0%
2.50%29%33%0%
3.50%14%17%0%
4.50%14%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenk WOH Leuven W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricGenk WOH Leuven W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGenk WOH Leuven W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-11-5
Biggest losses0-36-0——
Goals For2225
Goals Against3611

Model comparison

MetricGenk WOH Leuven W
Form25%75%
Att28%72%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution7%93%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total18.7%81.3%

Advice: Winner : OH Leuven W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.50 @ Marathonbet
Draw6.15 @ Pinnacle
Away1.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk W = 0.31 (league 1.56), OH Leuven W = 4.03 (league 1.27)

OH Leuven W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk W 0 1.3% 5.2% 10.5% 14.2% 14.3% 11.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 3.5% · Away win 73.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1